Mobile traffic to increase 26x by 2015 but will infrastructures support it?

Matthew Lasar at Ars technica (http://arstechnica.com/author/matthew-lasar/) reports some figures by Cisco Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast (source here).

Here are the highlights:'[…]

  • There will be 788 million mobile-only Internet users by 2015.
  • Global mobile data traffic will increase by a factor of 26 by 2015.
  • World mobile data grew by a factor of 2.6 in 2010 from 2009.
  • Average smartphone usage doubled: 79 MB per month, up from 35 MB per month in 2009.
  • Android operating system data use is rapidly catching up to the iPhone.
  • In 2010 almost a third of smartphone traffic was offloaded onto fixed networks via dual-mode or Femtocells.
  • Millions of people around the world have cell phones but no electricity, and by 2015 a majority in the Middle East and Southeast Asia will live “off-grid, on-net.”

[…]” (full article at http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/news/2011/03/world-mobile-data-traffic-to-explode-by-factor-of-26-by-2015.ars)

I think that supporting such an expansion is also a challenge of network support, that, in most cases is running at nearly full capacity.

I’m not confident that in 4 years we can build and reinforce networks more than was done in last 10 years.

The other fact that is really worrying is that nearly 1/3 of world population will live “on net and off grid”. This is a radical shift, because moves mobile access to primary needs, and I think that accessing the net is important, but not vital nor for development, nor for surviving.

This post as a comment also at http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/news/2011/03/world-mobile-data-traffic-to-explode-by-factor-of-26-by-2015.ars?comments=1&p=21385440#comment-21385440

 

About hotrao

42, married with my wonderful wife, 1 beloved child, Business Unit Head in a well known IT and Service company View all posts by hotrao

2 responses to “Mobile traffic to increase 26x by 2015 but will infrastructures support it?

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